Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.380140 0.440644 0.506987 0.585038 0.674254 0.772956 0.890332
2025-06-29 0.267157 0.345799 0.441090 0.564623 0.720068 0.908686 1.154372
2025-07-06 0.206622 0.290140 0.399029 0.550491 0.754682 1.019235 1.386610
2025-07-13 0.174966 0.262613 0.383901 0.562477 0.816874 1.164078 1.671173
2025-07-20 0.156700 0.249094 0.383654 0.591604 0.901999 1.344567 2.018773
2025-07-27 0.139734 0.234034 0.377876 0.610087 0.971485 1.507226 2.354423
2025-08-03 0.123301 0.216839 0.365803 0.616195 1.021174 1.643311 2.661208
2025-08-10 0.108123 0.199137 0.350092 0.613636 1.055476 1.757097 2.941786
2025-08-17 0.094541 0.181986 0.332746 0.605587 1.078782 1.853946 3.201986
2025-08-24 0.083347 0.167344 0.317585 0.598898 1.102619 1.952231 3.471035
2025-08-31 0.071962 0.150629 0.296534 0.579001 1.100813 2.006291 3.668803
2025-09-07 0.068915 0.149497 0.303655 0.610706 1.193133 2.228331 4.172286
2025-09-14 0.059674 0.134861 0.283882 0.590464 1.189707 2.284057 4.391870
2025-09-21 0.051920 0.122185 0.266394 0.572649 1.189057 2.344855 4.626487
2025-09-28 0.045600 0.111606 0.251719 0.558511 1.193593 2.414799 4.882711
2025-10-05 0.042412 0.107539 0.250029 0.570674 1.251254 2.589568 5.350853
2025-10-12 0.040941 0.107220 0.256294 0.600199 1.346908 2.845268 5.995169
2025-10-19 0.038726 0.104789 0.257568 0.618933 1.421584 3.065050 6.584988
2025-10-26 0.035830 0.100234 0.253448 0.625124 1.469832 3.234933 7.086809
2025-11-02 0.032671 0.094519 0.245892 0.622531 1.498359 3.365926 7.517924
2025-11-09 0.029521 0.088334 0.236433 0.614372 1.513486 3.469610 7.899296
2025-11-16 0.026783 0.082837 0.227971 0.607592 1.530938 3.579269 8.301059
2025-11-23 0.023671 0.075785 0.214685 0.587424 1.515057 3.614654 8.544145